The carnival is half over – the Melbourne Cup went down to the wire with the closest finish in history and my 50-1 shot relegated to second by a whisker. Those who like a conspiracy might suggest that a dead heat was avoided so that a second cup costing $175000 was not needed, for me it should have been called a tie, but that may be the hip pocket talking.
Oaks Day has been robbed a little by the injury to Atlantic Jewel, she would have bolted the main race in and gone a long way to stamping herself as a champion mentioned in the same ilk as Black Cavier. But, as it is the Oaks is now much harder to call and there will be more value in finding the winner. In fact most of the races are wide open and if you can find a few winners, there is plenty of value assured. Let’s have a look at the card:
Race 1
9 Orbital Motion is good value and has a sound record
Race 2
3 Twilighting is my top pick
Race 3
16 Rue Maple is drawn the outside which should be an advantage in a very tough race.
16 to win, quinella 4, 8 & 16
Race 4
4 Bolisimo Miss s unbeaten at the track and second up.
4 to win. quinella 2, 3, & 4
Race 5
12 Grand Britanna has been racing against the best, so hard to line up form
12 to win
Race 6
7 Vittoria was one of the few fancies not to run on Saturday, that may be an advantage. 2 the danger.
7 to win, quinella 2, 7 & 11
Race 7
1 Torah looks like a good thing t finish around the mark
1 to win
Race 8
7 Cascabel beating first up by a horse who won tuesday. race might be a bit short but likely to be coming from the rear
7 to win quinella with 6 & 7
Race 9
4 Cosmic Causeway is a great chance to win the last
4 to win. quinella 4 & 11
Unsure where the rail will be tomorrow, but Tuesday appeared to favour those coming down the outside and expect it will be similar tomorrow. Good luck!!
